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14 января 2026 г.
📷 ФотоScore: 426
📊 How @intodotspace Prediction Market Works
🎯 The Basics
Each market poses a simple question with two or more possible outcomes:
• e.g., “Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 in 2026?”
• OR “Will Team X win the next championship?” You can trade YES or NO depending on whether you believe the event will happen.
• Price = Implied Probability
If YES shares cost $0.40, the market implies a 40% chance of that outcome. Settlement: When the event resolves, YES shares pay $1 if correct; NO shares pay $1 if the event doesn’t happen
📊 Simple Profit Example
• Event: Will BTC close above $150K?
• YES Price: $0.40 (40% implied probability)
• You buy 100 YES shares → cost: $40. ✅ If BTC does close above $150K →
You receive $100 total ($1 × 100 shares) → Profit = $60.
❌ If not →
Your YES shares go to $0 → Loss = $40. With leverage: If you used 5× leverage, your $40 controls $200 worth of position. Profits and losses scale accordingly