Wars and BTC is an interesting observation 🔫 This weekend, the United States launched large-scale strikes on Iran — nuclear targets, ballistic missiles, the navy, and military forces. Israel struck first, Iran responded with hundreds of rockets on Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. At the moment, the crypto market fell by 3%, alts lost 5-10%. A day later, Trump announced the death of the Supreme Leader — the market was bought back. But the bombings, according to him, will continue "without stopping" until all goals are achieved. And now to the interesting part 👀 There is an interesting pattern — every major conflict of recent years has given BTC growth ~a month after the start: 🟠The war in Ukraine — the battle has grown 🟠The Israel-Hamas war — the battle has grown 🟠The US-Iran war — the battle has grown Why it is happening is a separate question. Perhaps geopolitical fear is quickly digested by the market. Capital may be seeking refuge. Perhaps just a coincidence. But this time there is a nuance: the conflict may drag on. The Strait of Hormuz accounts for 20-30% of world oil exports. Disruptions = oil growth = inflation = Fed does not cut rates = crypto is under pressure longer than usual. Whether the pattern will repeat itself this time is a big question.