Solstice TGE is scheduled for Q1 2026. Yet Polymarket is pricing only ~65% odds it launches by March 31. That implies a 35% chance of delay. So the real question isn’t: “Is this free money?” It’s: 👉 Is 35% delay risk justified? Possible reasons the market is discounting: • TGE delays are common in crypto • Market conditions • Strategic postponement I still believe $SLX will launch in Q1.